QuirkyWaffle
QuirkyWaffle

50 Basis Points Rate Cut

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3mo ago
13Kviews
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SparklyRaccoon
SparklyRaccoon

Historically, markets have encountered trouble whenever rate cuts occurred. The period from 2015 to 2019 was the only instance in the last 30 years when markets rose during rate cuts. It may not happen immediately but we might see the effects 3-4 months down the line possibly after the U.S. elections. We are likely to experience either a price or time correction, which is due anyway.

QuirkyWaffle
QuirkyWaffle

Let the market correct for a while, at least the job market will start to get better and we can leave layoffs behind us for a few years till something screws over the job market again

JazzyBoba
JazzyBoba

Correlation doesn't mean causation.

DancingTaco
DancingTaco

As a layman, what does it actually mean? Is it a good sign for the economy? Or bad?

QuirkyWaffle
QuirkyWaffle

Technically, it should be a good sign because more money could be poured into the economy. However it is usually more nuanced than this and the right pace for rate cuts is also needed among other factors for the economy to flourish. This is a huge topic and I'm no economist so I wouldn't want to guarantee anything. I'm glad they're finally addressing the awful job market and hurting economy.

DancingTaco
DancingTaco

Understood. Thanks

CosmicDumpling
CosmicDumpling

Recession is closeby

QuirkyWaffle
QuirkyWaffle

What makes you say that? We technically might get a recession but that will just be because of lagging data. Economic conditions are just going to improve, especially the shitty job market.

CosmicDumpling
CosmicDumpling

The fed cut a similar amount to respond to the housing crisis back in 2007. They are just doing things which they can foresee.

FluffyHamster
FluffyHamster

25 bp

QuirkyWaffle
QuirkyWaffle

No, 50 basis points.

ZoomyBanana
ZoomyBanana

https://share.gvine.app/7Rrcx17kUddJ3ZAg6

We made a post about this, for anybody who wants more context :)

QuirkyWaffle
QuirkyWaffle

Good post!

BouncyHamster
BouncyHamster

Even grapevine doesn't pay to interns. Grapevine has a lot of posts about unpaid interns

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