To give the answer with some back of the envelope calculations-
Current Nifty50 is ~21500 EPS (1 yr forward) ~ 940
If Nifty50 is ~ 30000 Assuming EPS ~1000 (best case scenario) Nifty50 PE ~ 30
To me, Nifty50 with PE ~30 would be overvalued and dangerous. As markets are recovering from ZIRP irrationality, the chances of Nifty hitting 30k in 2024 looks bleak.
That’s too much optimism, stable 25K is still viable!
60,000 by 2030.
NIFTY will hit 25,000 by elections. Mark my words.
Will it hit 25 this year?
An interesting data from Moneycontrol on Active funds against benchmarks. Over-reliance on passive funds, especially in a sideways market is not good.
So yesterday I was thinking about investments. My friend, who's also a techie, was like, "Dude, just put your money in Nifty 50 and chill for 20 years." He said we could expect around 15% returns annually. I was like, "Bro, are you sure?...