DancingDonut
DancingDonut

Zomato - Interesting Juncture

Zomato delivered another great set of results. Now they are adding 250Cr cash every quarter. The company hit two benchmarks this quarter according to my calculations, 50,000 Cr worth of orders (4x Q3) and 100 Cr orders (4x Q3), and these are growing 25-30% year on year. Why is this interesting? As some of you might know, they have started adding platform fees to the orders. Even one more rupee of platform fee will add 100 Cr to EBITDA. So, if they increase fees from 5 to 10, that's 500 Cr more EBITDA every year.

Now, If you look at this quarter's results vs last quarter's results, they have added ~3600 Cr of order value, and made 380 Cr of EBITDA (this does not include Events). Which means they are making 10% as EBITDA. In next 3 years, if Zomato doubles their order value to 1,00,000 Cr, and even make 8% EBITDA, this could mean 8000 Cr EBITDA (almost 1 billion dollars). What markets will give as multiple on this, is guess work. Could be 25-40x (Don't hold me on this). Hence the stock looks undervalued from a 3 year lens

10mo ago
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