SquishyQuokka
SquishyQuokka

[Opinion] How JPow's misadventure affects me and you...

Seeing the S&P500 witness a spectacular "short" rally before popping, and then it becoming decidedly clear that even if the rate hikes were unlikely it was still going to be a long time before rates come down. Becoming much more clearer that the impact on various asset classes and securities is going to be muted for the time to be.

Unless interest rates come down, I can't possibly imagine that the VC funding will pick up again, their LPs can't put in more money unless interest rates come down. Cheap capital fuels the VC ecosystem, if capital isn't cheap then allocation in VC Funds goes down to adjust to a newly adjusted risk appetite of investors.

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FluffyCupcake
FluffyCupcake
Amazon11mo

Interestingly, I was having a conversation with a friend in the tech-investing space and we observed there are lots of activities happening in the Indian VC space. From the ex-BharatPe CEO launching a new fund to many others moving to VC/PE space. As per some reports, investments in India doubled in last quarter outperforming other Asian markets

https://m.economictimes.com/tech/funding/vc-investment-in-india-doubles-to-3-2-billion-across-354-deals-in-march-quarter-report/amp_articleshow/109509920.cms

Another report from Bain highlighted more investment activities coming in H2’24 as due diligence in progress -

https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/indias-venture-capital-landscape-set-for-surge-post-elections-bain-company-report/article67949466.ece/amp/

Overall, to me, it looks like the underperformance of other markets is turning a boom for ours.

SquishyQuokka
SquishyQuokka
Gojek11mo

@ElonMast Yes, underperformance + rationalisation of valuations has led to significant doubling down on India.

The worry is about fresh inflows to the Funds themselves. Not the deployment. They have enough dry powder, and they have to deploy it to make that money.

SnoozyWalrus
SnoozyWalrus

Wonder when will we have our own funds. Like LPs from our funds like LIC, EPFO etc.

GroovyKoala
GroovyKoala
Adobe11mo

Always hard in a capital constrained economy

SillyDumpling
SillyDumpling

@hydrogen can you elaborate

PrancingCupcake
PrancingCupcake
Meesho11mo

There is already huge amount of domestic capital in the public markets.
Since these are mostly public money (mutual funds, insurance firms), our regulators are unlikely to allow significant private allocation.

SquishyQuokka
SquishyQuokka
Gojek11mo

Exactly

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Loving how 2024 is looking actually. Getting rid of my cash position and all in on equity. Plus, locking in the good interest rates FDs. Not seeing lucrative returns on FDs till the next quantitative tightening now.

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