Crying will not take you anywhere. Kitne saal aur royega

Brand marketing manager

Senior Data Scientist

Product Manager

🫠

Software Engineer

🫠- Grapevine

Welcome to Data Scientists's Private Community

I will continue with this series for people who like this kind of content, drop "+1" in the chat and I will tag you the next time I post content.

I assume you guys know some basics of Texas Hold'em Poker. Flop refers to "the dealing of the first three face-up cards to the board"

Now, let's look at the table and their positions:
1. Blinds: First to act every street after pre-flop.
2. Early positions: Under the Gun(UTG)
3. Middle positions
4. Late positions: Button and Cut Off

The order for a 10 person game would be: Small Blind(SB) → Big Blind(BB) → Under the Gun(UTG) → UTG+1 → UTG+2 → MP1 → MP2 → MP3 → Cutting off the Button (CO) → Button (BTN) and then order repeats ...

Some insights:
1. Blinds see the flop at a discount because they are compelled to play but are at a disadvantage because they are first to act.
2. This means that more money is made in late positions because they have more information to act on.
3. However in short stack situations, where effective stack size is small then early positions are better because you have the opportunity to go all in before someone else can as you can maintain Fold equity(Equity from Aggression).

So, Expected Value or E(V) is how do you determine whether you should call or fold basis the size of the pot and your contribution to it basis the number of outs(potential winning hands) you have.

E(V) = Win % * Win Amt - Lose % * Lose Amt

For example:
Villain(V) [UTG+1] = $500
Hero(H) (MP1) = $500

SB/BB + Ante = 20/40 + 10
Here, Ante is the bet everyone has to make every hand. This is to make the pot worth playing for everyone.

Pre-Flop: $140
H = A 10 (suited Hearts)
V = ? (Unknown)

1 Fold
V raises $120
H calls $120, 5 Folds

Flop: $380
The flop is 8 Heart, 3 Heart, K Club
V = $370 (All In)
H = ? (Do you call or fold?)

Solution:
A call is positive E(V)  if:
 Win % > Call Amt/ Pot after Call 

You have a strong hand if you can get a flush here. 
which means you need one of the next two cards
Heart Heart Club | Heart* | Heart*

Which means:
Win % = 1 - (Odds of 2 cards not being Hearts)
= 1 - (40/49 * 39/48)
= ~ 36%

So,
370/1120 = ~33% is  Call Amt/Pot after Call

Since, 36% > 33% Hero should call.

E(V) = 36% * (380+x) - x * 66%
E(V) cut off at 0,

x = $404

You stand to make $ if you decide to call that bet. You can raise any amount till $404 for a positive E(V) after which you should mathematically fold.

An easier way to calculate this is to use 2% if you can only see one card after flop and 4% if you can see both cards.

That way, Win % here would be = 4% *  9 = 36%
9 outs because, 9 cards that are Hearts are left in the deck.

Daily Series #1: Geeking out → Poker Math

Hi guys.. can anyone pls tell me how to change the dp (profile photo) in Grapevine app.. ?

Changing dp in grapevine

Data engineer

Welcome to Office Gossip's Private Community

Background
During a trip to Thailand, me and a colleague accidentally swapped bags. When I called to explain the mistake, his wife accused me of trying to seduce her husband. She harassed me with phone calls, and later threw eggs at my residence. Then, set her husband's bag on fire and got into trouble with the police. She was then arrested.

For full context: https://share.gvine.app/FdwwvTcDLzaK6i2a9

I would also like to address those who said that the story is fake. It isn't. I genuinely posted this here because as a woman it is hard to find spaces online to vent my frustrations. I was genuinely distressed at the moment and my flatmates did take care of me. I also received tons of support from the community here and I am thankful for that.

Here's what happened next:
I decided not to press charges as I am living away from my family and I don't want this to be the reason they start interfering in my personal freedom. Over the weekend, she apologized and invited me for dinner, I obviously declined because she acted all insane before.

But she is literally so dramatic that she lied to everyone that I came to her house and hit her so hard that she puked all over her clothes. Thankfully, their society has CCTV coverage and I didn't even leave my home all weekend. So, no one believed her this time. 

Our group thankfully supported me throughout this and the colleague is no longer in the group. Now, I just want to get over this traumatic experience which when I look back at is too unreal to even think about.

Here's what happened next, after Police arrested my Colleague's Wife

Analyst

If you are an over performer and doing great work at your company, I request you to also start working for yourself. You have no idea how much you can make just working directly for clients.

For all the rockstars at work

Consultant

Welcome to News Discussion's Private Community

https://www.theverge.com/2023/9/5/23860073/meta-return-to-office-three-days-wfh-work-from-home

Meta goes to 3 days a week WFO, starting today!

Corporate Strategist

Seems like RCB is batting first and they need to win by more than 18 runs if its a full 20 over match

I'm gonna say I'm biased. Go RCB!

Match Thread: RCB vs CSK 🏏

Founder

Heard from a friend that he flew out to his office in the middle of the night from his wedding because mortgage backed securities started to crumble in NA during ’07 crisis.

Dude was bummed.

What is the worst thing your boss did to you?

Somebody woke up and decided to join office with me...

Key Account Manager

I'm at that age where is tremendous pressure to get married. Can't even put in words the kind of torture I go through every day. I'm a woman. I have met people mostly through AM set up. I didn't click with anyone. I don't have faith that I'll be anyone compatible through AM route. Tried dating app, quickly realised it's not for me, the compatibility is even worse there. I go to events and such, didn't really meet anyone. Idk if it's just the Kannada culture, everyone is just so shy! I enjoy being by myself but would prefer being with a partner. I realise the importance of having a companion. At the same time, I also don't want to just get married to someone for the sake of it. 

So Bengalurians, especially Kannadigas, where did you meet your partner/SO/spouse? 

What is something I should be doing that I'm not doing?

On the work front, I'm doing quite well. Looks wise too, I don't think I'm ugly.

Bangalore folks, and particularly Kannadigas, where did you find your partner?

Medical Expert

Something exciting coming next month

Welcome to Software Engineers's Private Community

I will continue with this series for people who like this kind of content, drop "+1" in the chat and I will tag you the next time I post content.

Imagine you have a very complex situation with varying degrees of randomness. How do you evaluate the probability of certain outcomes? 

One way is a deterministic way which is to sit down and try to compute probabilities of events.
Another way is to simulate these interactions with various seed values and see how these outcomes vary. This is called a Monte Carlo simulation, where we use random sampling to model and analyze complex systems that involve uncertainty.

Let's set up a game and apply a Monte Carlo simulation to it.

You(Hero) and Me(Villain) engage in a strategic coin flipping competition over a series of rounds. Before each round, both of us independently decide whether to flip a coin or pass the turn to the opponent. 

The outcomes are as follows:

1. If both players decide to flip, a fair coin is tossed, and the player who called it correctly gains a point.
2. If one player decides to flip and the other passes, the flipping player gains a point without the need for a coin toss.
3. If both players pass, no points are gained or lost.

We can simulate it by making each decision random:
1. Hero and Villain both independently choose between 0 and 1 for deciding whether to toss or pass. We use 0 as Pass and 1 as Toss.
2. If both pass then we let the scores as is.
3. If one passes and not the other, then we add +1 to whoever decided to toss.
4. If both decide to toss then, we do a random coin flip where 0 = Heads and 1 = Tails. Hero can randomly choose between Heads or Tails. The Villain takes the opposite position.

First is the Monte Carlo Simulation and the difference between potential outcomes for 1000 rounds and 20 simulations, which is the graph shared.

Daily Series #2: Geeking out → Monte Carlo Simulations

Welcome to Indian Startups's Private Community

I understand that companies want to start new year with new energy. But doing it in the last working week of this year is just nuts. 

Let folks enjoy the year. Do it in Jan first/ second week. 

By doing now, you’re literally spoiling this year and the next. 

To founders out there: grow some spine, tell your investors you won’t do it now. I don’t think it’ll hurt your company much (I mean you’ve not done enough, and that’s the reason you’re in this mess, probably suck it up and wait for few more weeks) 

To the folks out there, who got impacted, my heart goes out to you all. Good luck. Market is tough, but I know you guys will make it.

[rant]- What’s up with startups? Sudden layoffs in literally last working week of this year

Put the pic you want in comment, I’ll change it from backend :)

Want to change profile picture?

Software Test- QA

Any weekend plans?
Is it only me who’s just sitting idle and thinking what to do during weekends, and will end up getting bored or probably sleeping?

Any good suggestions?

Weekend plans

Software Developer

A few years back this trend came up on Blind, where people connected to each other over a thread and planned to meet outside the app, calling it a Blind date.

Why don't we start it here again?

Let's see if we can beat bumble and shaadi.com 😂

Please drop your details in this format.
(Gender: M/F) | (Age) | (Location) | (One liner bio that won't disclose your identity)

Example: 
M | 27 | HSR | I hate chocochips on icecreams

Blind Date series via Grapevine, Bangalore edition

While work culture wise we aren't a toxic place
We did have two bats enter our office in the same day and caused quite a havoc! I don't know of anyone who's ever told me they like bats. I particularly hate them. They're disease ridden and can cause quite a lot of harm if not taken care of around our houses 

Our office is quite nice, but some unfortunate events have allowed for these bats to enter from an opening in our building. I guess that's the cost of being around nature :/

I'm sad to say that Grapevine is a toxic company (literally 🦇)

Got a new phone and trying to find a new wallpaper now. Here's my old wallpaper...
Suggestions are appreciated.

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