Can’t curb the urge to share a money making opportunities with the world only when you are not making money 😂

At least my friends and family are, beer party milegi 😁

Product Owner

Founder

Very long. 3-5 year outlook. I don't trade stocks myself though, just share with people who are looking out for picks

Product Manager

How do you account for money supply and interest rates

Doesn't matter. Most likely bottomed out and the volume tells me whales are picking it up. Stop loss is always good to have though.

Software Engineer

Not financial advice, do your own research  Markets are ripe with opportunities, hope snipers are in position with enough ammo.

Welcome to Personal Finance's Private Community

Not financial advice, do your own research

Markets are ripe with opportunities, hope snipers are in position with enough ammo.

👀

👀- Grapevine

Currently Market is offering an excellent Risk : Reward. I know how hard it is right now to build positions, that is why i have a focused approach(Nifty 100 only). Whenever the market is going to give you Risk : Reward things are not going to be rosy.

I carry out 1 exercise on the weekend to check the market breadth when markets are falling. I couldn't post last weekend but i will try to post it this weekend. It immensely helps me in building a hypothesis.

In my post i mentioned that buying Opportunity currently exists in the market but Risk : Reward wise Banks, FMCG , Metals are an excellent bet at this stage. Also stocks from Nifty 100 are exhibiting strength wrt to Broader market .ie. Nifty 500, Nifty 750.

Check out here - 
https://share.gvine.app/df3TRVcpCV5VF81M7

I have gone behind Bank Nifty Fut today but with 50% of intended Scale in. I will scale up another 50% after some stability in Nifty.
I have gone behind Bank Nifty FUT and not options. The journey is not going to be smooth on the upside, momentum is missing so dabble into options only if you understand risk.

Now, I have started to build a newer position in a few counters but they are from the Nifty 100 list only. For the time being Nifty 100 is my only universe. I am tracking stocks from small cap, mid cap space as well but i wont buy anything unless those indices become stable.

ABB, HAVELLS, COLPAL , ICICPRULI , JINDAL S, TATA S. Except Havells all of them have given an entry opportunity and Risk : Reward is great.

TATA M, M&M, DLF are eg of stocks that will offer opportunity. In one of my posts I mentioned that i want to go behind M&M but risk : reward is skewed. Now i might get an opportunity. Out of Auto, Realty i will just go behind 1 Stock.

Global and US markets are stable. Let's see what we do. I have my Stop losses in place, if things start going south, i will simply cut out.

BUYING OPPORTUNITY IN THE MARKET ?

Machine Learning Engineer

Hello, there are tonnes of reels in insta showing side hustles like affiliate marketing, some other using bizgurukul website. Are there any side hustles which are genuine and using which we can earn some extra income other than my 9-5 job? I am just curious about this. Please let me know your opinions

Side hustles

Software Developer

Everything seems to indicate that this is the beginning of an extended bullrun till the elections. What is the game plan? Personally, I am all in. First time since 2020, that I have a net zero cash position.

We ready for another bullrun, my fellow Grapeviners? 🚀

There is a saying that "when there is greed be fearfull and when everyone is fearfull be greedy".
Now every tom dick and harry is talking about investing in market and earning great returns.
Are we in a bubble ? There is no easy money in markets but currently u will get lot of advice on which stocks to buy from everywhere.
 What should one do? Pause SIP , remove all money from stocks park it in Liquid fund, FD, bonds, do nothing? Thoughts

Is market overvalued?

Welcome to Indian Startups's Private Community

Check comment for update on silver & next sectors.


A lot of things have happened since my last update. I was caught in election volatility & booked out 50% of my positions. I was hoping for further slippages in the market, but prices started recovering the next day & eventually, I built everything back in the next 2 days.


Currently from last week i have started booking out profits from my positional trades. 1 day before the election my portfolio for this FY was up around 26% & due to election volatility it came down to about 9 %. It is back again to the previous levels, a bit above.


I wont sell my top 2 stocks but i am booking out the rest gradually.


Now the rationale behind locking profit is that, in the last month, the portfolio fluctuated from 26 - 9 - 29. If markets go into trouble, I don't want to give back 20% twice to the market in 1 month. If I have 100 shares, I book out 5-10 every day, so that I can get a good average if the price keeps moving up. I have already booked 50% of my total positions. This process is called BOOKING OUT ON STRENGTH. I am taking advantage of the parabolic move. Us markets are currently thinning out & a handful of stocks are taking it higher, soon our market will experience the same. As of now there are no triggers in our market. But it just takes 1 session for the sentiment to change.


Now, I cannot let my money sit idle in my account, that would be foolish for a trader. What I am doing is getting into sector ETFs of Banks, It , Auto. ETFs are less volatile, if the market is going to move 5-7% more from here until Budget, my returns will be in tune with the market. I am fine if I don't outperform the market for the next 5-7%. After budget i will reasses the situation and will get back again into equities.


It is also a good feeling to book out & bring that money home. Whenever opportunities arise in subsequent quarters I can hit it hard & go full throttle since I have a good cushion.

Silver Moving , Buying frenzy in the market, Locking profits, Next opportunities..

- Central Banks have almost achieved their objective of controlling inflation through tightened monetary policy. Though the CPI is inching lower,  asset inflation is resurfacing through stock prices and real estate. 
- Many listed companies that came out with the quarterly numbers are nothing good to talk about. Growth and profits are subdued and for small and mid caps the numbers are decimated but the stocks are still trading at a historical premium. 
- Analysts will once again start downgrading the earnings forecast and that will start the downward momentum. Once again people will undergo the "Flight to Quality" effect. 
- No of Bankruptcies is steadily increasing 
- No of Job openings are trending lower
- Most of the US listed firms that have borrowed at a lower interest rate in 2021 are coming up for renewals this year. By the time they refinance, they will be doing it at a higher interest rate which will impact their PAT as a result their EPS estimates will take a biting. 
- Gold looks attractive from a market cycle standpoint. 

My Recommendation: 
- Have an emergency fund for at least 6 to 9 months to cover your expenses. 
- Exit overvalued small and microcaps stocks. Move to a reasonably valued large cap.
- Have health insurance for you and your dependents. 
- Move out of small cap mutual funds and have some allocation to debt funds. 

Let me know your thoughts. 

I hope 2025 turns out better.

[Must Read] Markets will Correct 📉

Man, not one month of 2024 has completed, and hoping for a good 2025. Tough times!

Consultant

Was catching up with a friend of mine in Gurgaon for lunch today. Afterwards, his uncle joined us because they had to get some work done for his cousin's wedding. So, I came to know that he manages an equity fund for a popular wealth management fund in the country. 

He was commenting on the recent rise in the market after quite some time now. According to him, we are maybe in the midst of a good bull run with good capital inflows already in the market. He mentioned that there will always be naysayers until the markets get overbought and then naysayers will start screaming that we're in a bull run when it is already too late by then to buy anything.

However he did mention two of his major concerns. FIIs combined hold a very significant amount of holdings in the Indian market when compared to DIIs, this means that there is some risk when they decide to book profits.

Secondly, he commented that it fine to trade as a hobby but remember that there are players in the market who will hunt stop losses during a bull run. You will never know when that happens. So avoid trading and buy and hold was his advice.

Talked to an investor today who manages >100M+ USD fund in India

Given the election season is about to come, any surprises will factor in very hard especially at current levels. Can consider hedging soon.

If the incumbent government gets a stronger majority then we will definitely witness an unparalleled rally.

[Update] Markets may experience sharp movements soon

Welcome to Office Gossip's Private Community

Had a chat with a legendary soonicorn founder yesterday evening and his take was that we are definitely not getting another bull run this decade.

I obviously think more optimistically and hopefully things will look up soon.

What do you all think about this tho?

Reply in comments. Do you all think we ever getting the bull run again? 😔

We’ll 100% see another bull run. It’s just a question of when.  
  
 Hopefully sooner rather than later, only a bull run can fix me…

This is a friendly reminder that stock markets can be brutal.

You may have not seen cases of Vakrangee, Suzlon, Yesbank, IL&FS, DHFL etc but when they happen, you are almost dead.

👀

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