MARKETS ARE AT A VERY FUNNY SITUATION RIGHT NOW 😂

Nifty down 1.6% , Bank nifty down 2.5%, Realty down 5% , Metal down 3.5%. I get happy when the market rises, but i get extremely happy when it falls or correct :) Let the fall begin 🙌🏻 P.S - I am a long only trader.

I wonder if buying Calls and Puts at the same strike price will work really well 🤔

1. Is this a forward looking indicator for job creation in upcoming quarters? 2. What are your portfolios looking like? 3. Selling/Holding/Buying now?

I think we are heading up. I can't see any sector that can pull the market down. We are in an uptrend and unless 21200 breaks on Nifty, we will remain in uptrend. Global cues are fine as well. The US market is undergoing a pullback and it should be contained around 4-6%. Coming back to our indices. Oil, Energy , PSU remains the strongest. Metals, IT are in good structure. Realty, Infra are also doing the right thing. Auto remains the consistent outperformer First Maruti and yesterday M&M broke out. The problem area was Nifty Bank and it has started to do the right thing. SBI cannot lead NB higher HDFC, Kotak needs to chip in now. NB is a Beast. If it starts finding its feet, a much higher level will come for Nifty. I have been booking profit for the last 2,3 weeks and have raised 40% cash. Now i have started deploying it. I have picked up 5 names from this list. https://share.gvine.app/Hn9vxKmr86PkqJmx5 I have a few other stocks on my radar. I want to build new positions for eg.in M&M. But i will wait it out. I am not going to chase any kind of breakout. I want a pullback that will shake a lot of people and then I will get in. If stocks want to just fly, I'll let it fly, I won't chase anything. I want odds on my money at this stage. I also picked up Nifty Futures yesterday, a lot of people will find it difficult to build newer positions atm as the market is stretched and rightly so, it is stretched. But the best of the rally happens in the stretched Market. I don't mind if i am wrong. I have my stop losses and risk management rules to protect me. I follow a certain process and i will keep following it. Lets go to the moooon 🚀🚀

- Central Banks have almost achieved their objective of controlling inflation through tightened monetary policy. Though the CPI is inching lower, asset inflation is resurfacing through stock prices and real estate. - Many listed companies that came out with the quarterly numbers are nothing good to talk about. Growth and profits are subdued and for small and mid caps the numbers are decimated but the stocks are still trading at a historical premium. - Analysts will once again start downgrading the earnings forecast and that will start the downward momentum. Once again people will undergo the "Flight to Quality" effect. - No of Bankruptcies is steadily increasing - No of Job openings are trending lower - Most of the US listed firms that have borrowed at a lower interest rate in 2021 are coming up for renewals this year. By the time they refinance, they will be doing it at a higher interest rate which will impact their PAT as a result their EPS estimates will take a biting. - Gold looks attractive from a market cycle standpoint. My Recommendation: - Have an emergency fund for at least 6 to 9 months to cover your expenses. - Exit overvalued small and microcaps stocks. Move to a reasonably valued large cap. - Have health insurance for you and your dependents. - Move out of small cap mutual funds and have some allocation to debt funds. Let me know your thoughts. I hope 2025 turns out better.

This is a piece from Business Standard. Growth in Profit this quarter is the slowest in the last 3 Years for Early bird 200+ companies. This either can be an anomaly or we need to show good numbers in subsequent quarters. PE Expansion has happened, Price has run up a lot Now Earnings has to catch up. This has got nothing to do with the short term. But this surely can determine what can happen in the next 12-18 months. If growth remains declining, stock prices will start appearing expensive which will lead to lower demand in the market. Very important 2,3 quarters ahead.

Hi folks, Wanted to know how much you guys have lost in Mutual Funds over your investing span? Saw loads of stories of upsides however would love to hear how risky these could be just to keep myself calm and composed incase such a correction happens.

Are we buying more or getting out before it goes bust?

My view on the Stock market in 2024 :- Market will rise till March - April 2024 Nifty 23-24k, then will fall, the fall depends on election results If BJP wins which market is expecting then still the market will fall by 10-15% (Nifty 20-21000) because of buy on rumor and sell on news behavior. If congress wins then the market may fall by 20-25%(Nifty 18-19000) because of the discontinuity of the current government. Then the market will start recovery by September. What do you guys think ?

Given the election season is about to come, any surprises will factor in very hard especially at current levels. Can consider hedging soon. If the incumbent government gets a stronger majority then we will definitely witness an unparalleled rally.