NVIDIA murders Moore's Law

Total processing power would double every 2 years. So in a normal world, the graph should be a straight line not a hyperbolic or exponential curve. Hyperbolic or exponential means that right now it seems AI will have no known bounds on compute ie. no bounds on what problems it can solve (like training itself and improving intelligence).

Compute and energy were touted to be the two constraints on superintelligence. One of them we've destroyed completely (compute). We can now only hope somebody doesn't discover practical nuclear fusion or other mass energy harvesting techniques. Otherwise, superintelligence is just a matter of when, not if.

@AITookMyJob That first paragraph sums it up pretty well.

Fair point. This time it's much more practically usefully broken as the compute power is nuts.

Ah! That “practically usefully” is irking me 🥲

You might not see value/power of nm processes as companies might not advertise them directly but all these “fancy refresh rates” or “day long batteries” comes because of underlying devices. More practical use cases!

I hope they decide to keep the human touch. A superintelligent AI can make it's own decisions - whether it chooses to keep the human touch around is unpredictable.

Or the Matrix or Cyberpunk 2077

Going by your logic, the cognitive ability of AI (that it already demonstrably has) is also the gift of god as we're using our god-gifted cognitive ability to create more cognitive ability for AI.

Btw, we don't need to 100% reverse engineer a brain to create cognition. We might get some useful insights, sure. But as of now, intelligence of AI keeps growing when we add more parameters to the model and use more / better training data. No real magic involved. Just brute force.