Do you agree with this take by Paul Graham?

..unless either of the two mess up insanely bad We'll probably get to the #3 spot if things go well. But it seems impossible that we'll ever go beyond that. Internal reasons that are very hard to fix:- (1) Our population TFR fell below standard replacement rate in 2023. This means we will not be able to follow the same economic growth trajectory required to reach developed status before population stagnation or declination. This is not a death knell but definitely very VERY bad news. (2) Our blue-collar workforce skill levels are not only subpar but are slowly falling behind the world standards every year. Much of our youth aim to join government orgs like the Army or the Railways which train for the job later, not before. Despite a national shortage of skilled plumbers, electricians etc, our vocational training orgs have been unsuccessful in attracting people towards these careers as well as churning out skilled workers. (3) Our bureaucratic environment is extremely slow with pathetic turnaround times on initiatives. This is not government specific and has always been the case so it seems like this will always be. This is not even a problem unique to India as many other countries have been facing this too but it is still a factor that negatively impacts our growth massively. I wish it was just internal reasons but a large part of it also comes down to both China and US being aggressively great at ensuring their successes:- (1) Chinese manufacturing seems nearly impossible to overcome - not just for India but also for the US. Yes, we might win over some industries and companies like the US, Vietnam, Thailand etc. have been doing but the amount of autocratic control in China allows them to crush competition easily. Case in point - the recent tussle between India and China on solar manufacturing which China won by autocratically lowering their prices. (2) If de-dollarisation succeeds, it will benefit China the most because (contd. in comments)

Title. Can India become a developed nation by 2047 irrespective of which political party is in power. If not 2047 then atleast 2060 or 2070?

I geniually want to understand why we are behind in manufacturing ? Although I'm from commerce background but I would love to know how does one start manufacturing business in India ? What type of engineers you need ? Honestly I don't have any clue but if any has some information pls discuss here.

This is what google shows when I searched - "When was India the richest country in the world?". India has a long history of wealth and prosperity, dating back to ancient times when it was a major center for trade and commerce. It has advanced civilizations like the Indus Valey Civilisation, which dates back to around 3300 - 1300 BCE. India was known for its wealth and trade networks during the Maurya and Gupta empires, and who can forget the Chola Dynasty which existed between the 3rd and 12th centuries CE. I realised how far history has been altered by these left liberandus to such an extent that we native Indians are made to think that we were just a pile of dust who knew nothing and we were enlightened by these foreign invaders who came from mere desserts and turned us into a pile of gold and silvers. This just needs a little logic to understand that if someone comes from outside to make things better here then they themselves need resources for the same. What do you expect from people who were in dessert to bring in to the land which experiences all 4 seasons, have all major landforms ranging from mountains, land, dessert, seas and ocean. I was watching one discussion on CAA/NRC, in which a muslim leader asked someone in the audience if you have so many problems with Muslims and why you eat biryani so fondly which is a dish created by Mughals. The concerned person from the audience just asked: "What are the constituents of a biryani? Spices, Rice and Ghee. Spices were only found in India during that time. Rice needs water to grow and desserts are deprived of water, and Ghee can only be made using milk of buffaloes and cows. We know that Camels are only found in desserts and ghee can't be made using their milk." P.S. - My point is India was always greatest and rich in traditions be it in any form until these foriegn invaders came in destroyed everything and anything they could and then leaving us beleiving that they helped us come out of darkness.

Earlier someone was very skeptical about Bharat growing at 7+ %. Here you go.......live long enough to witness the journey Like I said (1.07)^50 = 29.45 times current GDP

In India, suppressing the real economic and social data on unemployment, health, education, etc., is the cure. So no need to improve anything as everything is world-class already.

Last week, I was wondering how long has it been for me since I joined Grapevine. Scrolling through OTPs, I realized that the first time I "may" have joined the app is exactly one year ago since today. It has been a hell of a ride. I have had insane conversations with some of the best minds in this country. It also made me appreciate how the same people who will be discussing Finance in one post also end up talking about Nietzsche in another post. I have always felt that we all have great stories to share in our lives. Grapevine has always been a place where smart people in this country have contributed to the collective knowledge here. Lastly, there are always a ton of gloomy folks around you, they are doomsayers. That is always because people in general are more optimistic about their future and that remains a mainstream emotion. Which means that the cost of being wrong is low and the praise for being right is high when you are negative all the time as it is a contrarian take. But let me tell you the most important thing, India is becoming big. No matter what may come our way. People will crib about things as they should, but don't let that deter you from building in India and staying in India. There is a ton of money to be made and you should aim to be on the right side of history.